TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of a football game. Bettors can predict whether the total points will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of challenge and potential return.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the 4th quarter of the specified Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a different threshold: if the combined score exceeds the specified amount (3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds increase progressively, allowing bettors to choose their level of risk and potential reward. All markets share the same secondary rule, ensuring consistency in scoring evaluation across thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, especially when there's significant public interest and information available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of the trading process.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter between the Cleveland Browns and the Pittsburgh Steelers is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the fourth quarter will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts associated with their positions shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or Steelers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations regarding scoring. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, will undoubtedly cause fluctuations in the market price. Furthermore, any public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could sway trader sentiment and affect volume.