TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of two teams during a specific quarter of a football game. It focuses solely on the points accumulated in the third quarter, providing insight into scoring trends for that segment of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both Cleveland and Pittsburgh during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for resolution, ranging from more than 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, each evaluating a distinct scoring benchmark.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts closer to game time, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced as a continuous contract, meaning the price fluctuates based on supply and demand from traders. Buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks, and trades execute when there’s a match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of the total points scored in the 3rd quarter falling below that value. For example, a price of 50 means traders are collectively valuing the probability of under 50 points at 50%. The more traders believe a specific point total is likely, the higher the price will climb.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official final score of the 3rd quarter of the Cleveland Browns versus Pittsburgh Steelers game will be used to determine the result. The market will pay out based on whether the actual total points scored in the 3rd quarter were above or below the price at which traders bought or sold contracts. No further information about the resolution process is available at this time.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Browns or Steelers – particularly quarterbacks, running backs, or key defensive players – would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict inclement conditions that could affect scoring, are also important. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment as reflected in other sources, could all contribute to price fluctuations before Nov 1, 2026.