TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Cleveland or Pittsburgh specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential achieved by either team during the third quarter of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in each individual market rule. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution, meaning any points from other quarters are irrelevant. The markets cover a range of margins from 1.5 to 10.5 points for both possible winners, allowing participants to speculate on varying degrees of dominance within that specific quarter. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the third quarter of the Cleveland versus Pittsburgh game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, such as the quarterback or star wide receiver, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Finally, even late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence traders’ perceptions and lead to adjustments in the prices within this market.