TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh. It highlights the competitive nature of individual quarters within a larger game, where scoring efficiency can shift momentum even if it doesn't decide the final outcome.
If Pittsburgh wins the 2nd Quarter of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland wins the 2nd Quarter of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likelihood of various outcomes. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the second quarter of the game between the Cleveland Browns and the Pittsburgh Steelers will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, as determined by these official sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Steelers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the odds. Finally, even public sentiment and large bets from influential traders can create short-term price fluctuations in this market.