TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Cleveland and Pittsburgh during a specific quarter of their scheduled football game. It focuses solely on the scoring differential within the second quarter, ignoring overall game outcomes or other quarters' results.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential between Cleveland and Pittsburgh during the second quarter of play in their November 1, 2026 game. Each market has a different threshold for victory margins, ranging from narrow advantages (e.g., over 1.5 points) to substantial leads (e.g., over 10.5 points), with separate markets for both teams potentially winning by specified margins. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution, and all markets operate independently—meaning a single game's second-quarter result could satisfy multiple market conditions simultaneously depending on the exact score difference. The contests are strictly limited to this quarter's performance and do not consider any other gameplay elements, timing adjustments, or external factors beyond the specified scoring gap.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and a desire to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting discrepancies between the two. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final second quarter spread between Cleveland and Pittsburgh will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official result will be sourced from official NFL data and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. It's crucial to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the market is reacting to real-time events.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key offensive linemen, would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and therefore the market. In-game performance during the first quarter, such as a dominant offensive drive or a crucial turnover, could also lead to substantial movement. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed betting activity and potentially signal a shift in sentiment.