TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both Cleveland and Pittsburgh in the first quarter of their scheduled football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring outputs within that specific timeframe.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Cleveland and Pittsburgh during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging towards probabilities that differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. You may find that this market's implied probability of a certain outcome diverges from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, particularly when there's significant public interest and debate surrounding an event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential point totals for the first quarter of the Browns-Steelers game. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of collective expectations. The higher the price, the greater the perceived likelihood of that point total being achieved.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official point total for the first quarter of the Browns-Steelers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual first quarter point total will receive a payout based on the market price at the time of resolution. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Steelers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and public sentiment expressed on social media can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Unexpected line movements in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their views.