TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting which Pittsburgh player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Cleveland. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defense, with outcomes determined by game performance.
These markets determine whether a specified Pittsburgh player or the Pittsburgh defense scores the first touchdown in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to an individual player or the defense. If the designated player or defense scores the first touchdown for Pittsburgh, that specific market resolves to Yes. If no Pittsburgh touchdowns are scored in the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. For any player market, if the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on whether that player scores the first touchdown. All markets are independent, and the 'No Touchdown' market acts as a catch-all if Pittsburgh fails to score any touchdowns.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions. This often leads to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the consensus view in this market. It’s always wise to compare both to make the most informed decision.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi, incorporating various factors like player performance, injury reports, and game strategy. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the Cleveland versus Pittsburgh game. The official game statistics will be used to verify the result. The resolution will be based on the official game records, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market. Any disputes will be settled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either team, particularly the potential first touchdown scorers, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the game plan and affect scoring opportunities. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategy could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding player matchups or team vulnerabilities could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and price adjustments.