TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the first half will be.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by Cleveland and Pittsburgh in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the first half count, and all markets are independent, each evaluating against its own point total requirement. The governing league's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and biases present in each venue. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on traders expressing their beliefs directly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market absorbs new information and adjusts expectations about the Browns-Steelers first half total. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first half of the Cleveland Browns versus Pittsburgh Steelers game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contract wins. The official NFL statistics will serve as the source of truth for the final score. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Browns or Steelers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations about scoring. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price momentum, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment about the Browns-Steelers first half total.