TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will exceed various scoring thresholds, offering different levels of challenge and potential return.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Cleveland or Pittsburgh in the first half of the game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the designated team scores more points than that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The outcomes are binary, with no partial credit or alternative resolutions. All secondary disclaimers clarify that the platform is unaffiliated with the league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participants' beliefs about the actual outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling across both venues. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks and prediction markets each have their own strengths and weaknesses in forecasting event outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome – that either the Browns or the Steelers will exceed their first-half team total. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half team totals for both the Cleveland Browns and the Pittsburgh Steelers are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine whether either team exceeded their implied total based on the final official statistics. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either team would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, any significant pre-game analysis from respected football analysts or unexpected line movements in sportsbooks could prompt traders to adjust their positions, affecting the price of contracts in this market.