TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the interplay between the first half and full game outcomes in a specific football match. Participants predict whether certain combinations of first half and full game results will occur, adding complexity to traditional game outcome betting.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described in the respective primary rule. If either the first half or full game result does not match the condition, the market resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game begins within 48 hours of the original schedule time, markets remain open to resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each requiring specific pairings of half-time and full-time outcomes to pay out.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh game, specifically determining the winner of the first half and the full game. Traders will be able to view the final result on Kalshi after the game concludes and the information is verified. The platform will then process payouts based on the final outcome and the contracts held by each trader.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cleveland or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. Major strategic announcements from either team's coaching staff, or even significant public sentiment shifts reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could all contribute to price movements in this market.