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$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Denzel Boston will score 3+ touchdowns in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game. Currently, the probability of Denzel Boston achieving this is 5.0%, while Quinshon Judkins scoring 3+ touchdowns is estimated at 3.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Braelon Allen scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 11, 2026, as the outcome will depend on individual player performance during that match.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or teams score the specified number of touchdowns in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If a player or team is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual touchdowns scored during the game. The markets cover various players from both teams, including offensive players and defensive units, each with thresholds of 1+ or 2+ touchdowns. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each system. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their assessments of the likelihood of different touchdown totals.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Cleveland versus New York game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the results.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cleveland or New York teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor passing or running plays, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any significant shifts in public perception, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price before Oct 11, 2026.