TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
Cleveland faces New York in an NFL game that will test both teams' preparation and execution under pressure from the opposing defense and crowd energy.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp money. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market reflects what traders believe will actually happen. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and the event approaches, but initial discrepancies are common. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing a tie in the Cleveland vs New York Jets game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, collectively determining the market price. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, giving an indication of how easily orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cleveland vs New York Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official game result – specifically, whether the game ends in a tie. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cleveland or New York Jets teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a low-scoring, potentially tie-prone game, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a change in expectations and move the price.