TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds for both teams in an upcoming football game. Bettors can assess whether each team will surpass specific yardage milestones, offering varied levels of difficulty for predictions.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Cleveland or New York J in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team reaches or exceeds the designated yardage threshold (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, or 450+ yards) during the game. If the match is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, reflecting the likelihood of the stated conditions being met had the game been played. The markets operate independently, allowing separate evaluation of each team's performance against multiple yardage benchmarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely total yards in the game. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful for understanding where the crowd and professional oddsmakers diverge in their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total yardage ranges, and the price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with buyers pushing prices up when they believe an outcome is more likely and sellers pushing prices down when they believe it's less likely. This creates a dynamic and real-time valuation of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total yards for both the Cleveland Browns and the New York Jets are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the total yardage achieved by each team. The market will then settle based on which yardage range the actual total falls into, reflecting the collective prediction of traders on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. Injury reports for key players on both the Browns and Jets, particularly quarterbacks and wide receivers, would be significant. Weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact the passing game and therefore the total yardage. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or game plans could cause substantial movement in the market.