TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and New York. Participants can bet on whether the players will achieve certain rushing yard milestones, with payouts scaling based on the exact number of yards gained. The structure rewards higher performance with progressively larger returns.
Contracts in this market resolve based on the official rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each Yes contract pays out according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10-yard increment in rushing yards, up to a maximum payout of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to determine the precise return, calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is derived from the official yards by rounding down to the nearest 10 and capping at 200. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with negative rushing yards resulting in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All payouts are capped at $1.00 per contract, and the market resolves to Yes following the calculation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, allowing traders to assess supply and demand for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual combined rushing yards achieved during the game, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also shift expectations about the running game. Pre-game reports on coaching strategies or anticipated play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could influence trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.