TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Cleveland vs New York J: Rushing Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Cleveland vs New York?

Volume:
$273,881

Quinshon Judkins

 - Kalshi

Quinshon Judkins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:34 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Quinshon Judkins

View
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$259,798
N/A
N/A
$231,995
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Deshaun Watson

1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$14,084
N/A
N/A
$11,532
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 2

Description

This market assesses the potential performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and New York. Participants can bet on whether the players will achieve certain rushing yard milestones, with payouts scaling based on the exact number of yards gained. The structure rewards higher performance with progressively larger returns.

Kalshi

Contracts in this market resolve based on the official rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each Yes contract pays out according to a tiered schedule that increases with every 10-yard increment in rushing yards, up to a maximum payout of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to determine the precise return, calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is derived from the official yards by rounding down to the nearest 10 and capping at 200. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with negative rushing yards resulting in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All payouts are capped at $1.00 per contract, and the market resolves to Yes following the calculation.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Browns vs Jets rushing yards market displays the current price, a historical price chart, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the likelihood of different rushing yard totals for the game. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $240,732 and the total volume is $273,881. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard updates in real-time as new trades are placed on Kalshi.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, allowing traders to assess supply and demand for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual combined rushing yards achieved during the game, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also shift expectations about the running game. Pre-game reports on coaching strategies or anticipated play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could influence trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.