TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual player performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain players reach particular rushing yard thresholds. It allows participants to bet on the likelihood of players achieving specific statistical milestones during the match.
All markets refer to the Cleveland vs New York J professional football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated rushing yard threshold or more in that game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based solely on the rushing yards they actually record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against the defined thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action, but this market allows anyone to take a position, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as the event draws closer, as traders incorporate new information into their valuations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The market’s price movements are a direct result of these interactions, offering a unique perspective on the expected rushing yardage for the Browns and Jets.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for both the Cleveland Browns and the New York Jets are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, as recorded by the league. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual performance of the teams during the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially favoring a run-heavy approach. Unexpected news regarding the opposing defenses, such as a key player being ruled out, could also shift the market. Any updates that affect the perceived likelihood of either team successfully running the ball will likely cause price movement in this market.