TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and New York. Participants can speculate on how many times each player will catch the ball during the match. The outcome depends entirely on the actual number of receptions each player achieves in the game.
The event consists of four separate markets, each focusing on a different player’s reception count in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the specified player, with payouts capped at $1.00 and limited to a maximum of 20 receptions. No contracts pay the remainder of the $1.00 not allocated to Yes payouts. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size and calculated based on the actual number of receptions. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60. If zero receptions are recorded, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, and each resolves based solely on the reception count of its designated player.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s accuracy, as more traders are participating and expressing their views.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of receptions for each player will be tallied from official sources, and the market will settle based on those verified numbers. The exact settlement details are determined by Kalshi’s market rules, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to view the final results and claim any winnings after the official data is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either the Browns or the Jets would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing volume and thus receptions. Pre-game reports about defensive strategies or changes in offensive play-calling could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, even general public perception and media narratives surrounding the game can affect trading activity in this market.