TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Cleveland vs New York J: Receiving Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Cleveland vs New York?

Volume:
$15,239

Garrett Wilson

 - Kalshi

Garrett Wilson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Garrett Wilson

View
13%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
$424
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Denzel Boston

1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.2¢
—
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
$514
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Quinshon Judkins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,359
N/A
N/A
$11,736
Settled
No
kalshi

Harold Fannin Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,812
N/A
N/A
$1,116
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

These markets track receiving yardage performance by individual players in an upcoming football game between Cleveland and New York. Payouts scale with each player's total receiving yards, using a tiered structure that rewards higher yardage achievements more significantly. Contracts settle based on official game statistics.

Kalshi

Contracts pay out based on a player's receiving yards in the specified game, using a cubic scaling formula that increases payouts progressively with higher yardage thresholds. Each tier represents a range of 10 receiving yards, with payouts calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is the minimum of 200 and 10 times the floor of official yards divided by 10. The maximum payout for Yes contracts is $1.00, while No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Negative yardage results pay Yes contracts $0.00. All markets resolve to Yes upon settlement, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming affiliation with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL receiving yards market tracks the current prices for various yardage ranges, allowing traders to assess the probability of players exceeding those thresholds. You can view the historical price movement of the market, providing insights into how sentiment has shifted over time. Additionally, the dashboard displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $5,351, and the total market volume, which is $15,239. This provides a clear picture of market activity and interest in predicting receiving yardage for this event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. It’s common to see this market odds move in response to news, injuries, or changes in player performance, potentially leading to discrepancies with sportsbook offerings. Polls and analysts often underestimate the impact of collective intelligence, which is a key strength of prediction markets.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the volume of buy and sell orders at various price points, providing insight into the liquidity and potential price volatility of the market.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual receiving yardage achieved by the relevant players in the specified game. The platform will use official data sources to determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. It's important to monitor official sources for the final statistics as they become available following the game's completion.

Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to resolution. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a key receiver would drastically alter expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could impact passing game strategies and receiving yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and price fluctuations.