TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving yard milestones for various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for each participant. The outcomes depend on whether the players achieve particular yardage benchmarks during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by specified players in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market has a primary condition stating that if the named player records a specified minimum number of receiving yards (ranging from 15 to 150 yards), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. A consistent secondary rule applies across all markets: if the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. However, once the player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the market settles strictly based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules ensure clarity regarding player participation and yardage verification, while also addressing scenarios where a player might be listed as active but not utilized in the game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities assigned to various outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different receiving yard totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards achieved by the players in the specified game will determine the winning contracts. This resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on publicly available data. Traders will be able to view the official results on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of a key receiver would dramatically alter expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could affect passing game strategies and yardage totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also influence the outcome. Finally, news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in market prices as traders react to new information.