TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Cleveland or New York J will be the first team to score 14 points in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, or if neither team achieves this milestone. If either team reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team score 14 points by the end of regulation or overtime, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s lifecycle, as information and opinions evolve. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential result of the Cleveland vs New York points race.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 14 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, providing insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Cleveland or New York—reached 14 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official scores are verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to team strategy would likely cause price fluctuations. In-game performance during the early stages of the game could also drive movement, as traders react to how each team is playing. Unexpected weather conditions, if they affect the game, could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi could signal shifts in market sentiment and influence the odds for the Cleveland vs New York points race.