TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Woody Marks needs to exceed a specified yardage in his longest rush during the Houston vs Tennessee game, focusing on his ability to achieve a substantial running play that meets the threshold.
If Braelon Allen records a longest rush of over 14.5 yards in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Geno Smith records a longest rush of over 8.5 yards in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Quinshon Judkins records a longest rush of over 12.5 yards in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Deshaun Watson records a longest rush of over 11.5 yards in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game’s outcome. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market differ from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s a different way to assess the likelihood of various players achieving the longest rush.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each player. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that player having the longest rush. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing opinions, providing a real-time assessment of the potential for any player to lead in rushing yards. The current top outcome is not available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the player with the longest single rushing attempt in the game between Cleveland and New York will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the result. Trading will cease once the game concludes and the official statistics are available, finalizing the outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key running backs on either team, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could also influence the game plan and favor different players. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or changes in coaching strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports analysts discussing potential game strategies could affect trading activity and contract prices.