TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks Geno Smith and Deshaun Watson in a specific NFL matchup, focusing on how many passing touchdowns each player throws during the game. The outcomes depend entirely on the in-game statistics of these two players, reflecting their offensive contributions.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Geno Smith or Deshaun Watson in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For any market, if the relevant quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves according to the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ passing touchdowns), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise in this market, potentially offering better value than available at a sportsbook. However, it's important to compare carefully, as discrepancies can occur.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Cleveland versus New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will reflect the actual number of passing touchdowns achieved during the contest. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on publicly available and independently verified data.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions for passing, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive adjustments could lead to price movements. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes, especially as we approach Oct 11, 2026.