TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Cleveland vs New York J: Passing Completions
kalshi

What is the result of Cleveland vs New York J?

Volume:
$8,000

Geno Smith: 16+

 - Kalshi

Geno Smith: 16+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 3:48 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Geno Smith: 16+

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,422
N/A
N/A
$2,422
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Deshaun Watson: 15+

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$969
N/A
N/A
$968
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 21+

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,377
N/A
N/A
$2,351
Settled
No
kalshi

Deshaun Watson: 20+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,088
N/A
N/A
$2,086
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 26+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
No
kalshi

Deshaun Watson: 25+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will meet certain completion thresholds, adding an analytical layer to watching the game.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing completions achieved by the named quarterback—Geno Smith or Deshaun Watson—during the Cleveland vs New York J Professional Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (16+, 21+, or 26+ for Geno Smith; 15+, 20+, or 25+ for Deshaun Watson), and resolves to 'Yes' if the player meets or exceeds that threshold. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each market, allowing for varied betting outcomes depending on performance benchmarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Browns vs Jets passing market displays the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing different completion totals for the game. Currently, the total volume traded on this market is $8,000, with $4,364 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely outcome of passing completions in the upcoming matchup, offering insight beyond traditional odds.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among bettors, and the potential for market manipulation – though Kalshi has measures to mitigate this. If you find a significant difference, it may signal an opportunity for value, depending on your own assessment of the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different completion totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that the actual number of completions will fall within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely outcome, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions recorded by the official game statistics will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is finalized.

Several factors could influence this market before the game is played. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' health, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact the passing game and shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or reports about offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about key receivers or offensive linemen could also move the market as traders adjust their expectations.