TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense/special teams units during the full game (including overtime) between Cleveland and New York J on October 11, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper's default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories including passing/rushing/receiving yards and touchdowns, kicking performance, and defensive/special teams contributions such as sacks, interceptions, and points allowed. Players who do not participate or receive no fantasy-point value are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of game expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. Each market individually checks whether the designated participant's total exceeds the specified threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand among traders. If a significant number of participants believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market incorporate new information more rapidly than fixed-odds sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point totals for the Browns and Jets. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value based on available information and expectations. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of buying and selling interest.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official fantasy point totals from a major fantasy sports provider will be used to determine the winning contract(s). Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either team are significant catalysts, as they directly impact expected fantasy point production. News regarding weather conditions in Cleveland or New York could also shift expectations, particularly if it’s expected to affect passing or rushing attacks. Changes in player matchups or coaching strategies could also lead to price adjustments. Finally, any significant news related to team performance or player availability will likely be reflected in trading activity and move the market.