TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets link financial outcomes to the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game, with payouts scaling directly according to each player's fantasy points scored. Participants can bet on whether specific athletes will achieve certain levels of statistical production, making the game's outcome more personally impactful for investors.
All markets function as scalar contracts where Yes payouts are calculated at $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by the named player during the specified Cleveland vs New York J game on Oct 11, 2026, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. No payouts equal $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to contract positions, with negative points resulting in $0.00 for Yes and $1.00 for No. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy point total for the week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resolving Yes to $0.00 and No to $1.00. All markets are independent and resolve based solely on the player's individual performance metrics.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life cycle, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to new information and shifts in sentiment. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into how the public and expert opinions diverge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the volume of contracts traded, also influence price discovery. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final standings of the Cleveland and New York fantasy teams will be used to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on official fantasy league results, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches. The platform will announce the final outcome and distribute payouts accordingly once the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Significant player injuries or trades on either the Cleveland or New York teams would likely cause substantial shifts in expectations. Unexpected performance from key players during upcoming games could also drive price movements. News regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any major developments in the broader fantasy sports landscape could indirectly affect this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before Oct 11, 2026.