TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Cleveland versus New York J football matchup, this event observes if either Cleveland or New York J achieves a touchdown via their defensive or special teams. These plays are crucial as they not only score points but also often lead to a change in possession and can significantly influence the game's outcome.
If Cleveland or New York J record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Cleveland vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a defensive touchdown is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, or at least representing a different perspective, than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive touchdown being scored in the Cleveland vs New York game. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether a defensive touchdown – a touchdown scored by the defensive team – occurs during the Cleveland Browns versus New York Jets game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data from a trusted source. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether a defensive touchdown was scored, settling at 100 if it occurred, and 0 if it did not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key defensive players for either the Browns or the Jets – injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time – could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also impact the likelihood of a defensive touchdown. Furthermore, in-game events during the Browns vs Jets matchup, like turnovers or defensive stops, could cause rapid price fluctuations as traders react to the unfolding action. General football news and analysis could also play a role.