TOTAL VOLUME:
$141.8b
24H VOL:
$86,405,111
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,626,885,236
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,565,917,602
452,269
Markets across
34,849
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,912
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Jul 28, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team, Cleveland or Cincinnati, will win their professional baseball game scheduled for July 27, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability that Cincinnati will win is 87.0%, with Cleveland at 15.0%. The resolution source is the game's result as described in the official rules. Watch for the game’s conclusion on July 27, 2026, which will determine the market outcome.
The market resolves based on the result of the Cleveland vs Cincinnati professional baseball game scheduled for July 27, 2026, at 7:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different balance of sentiment and analysis. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, traders on Kalshi set prices based on their own expectations and available information. This can lead to notable differences, especially when public sentiment or recent performance shifts the probability view. Monitoring both sides helps spot potential value or divergence in how the contest is priced across betting communities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their bids and offers, which determines the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance is reflected in a continuously updating percentage, driven by market participation and any new information influencing expectations. This decentralized pricing captures the collective wisdom of Kalshi users for this specific contest, without input from any other venue or external adjustment.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, which is then matched against the market’s defined conditions. No internal platform mechanisms or arbitrary decisions are involved — the resolution relies solely on widely accepted public records of the contest’s final result.
Key performances, player injuries, coaching strategies, and any last-minute lineup changes can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. As the contest approaches, updated polling data, expert analysis, and even weather conditions may influence how participants price the odds. Any surprise developments — such as a star player’s status or a tactical shift — are likely to create volatility, causing rapid adjustments in the market’s implied probabilities on Kalshi.