TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an professional hockey game between two teams competing in their league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the scheduled match. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine how the market finalizes.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional AHL hockey game between the Cleveland Monsters and the Grand Rapids Griffins scheduled for October 24, 2026. If the Cleveland Monsters win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Grand Rapids Griffins’ market resolves to No, and vice versa. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cleveland Monsters versus Grand Rapids Griffins game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The market depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the game between the Cleveland Monsters and the Grand Rapids Griffins, as officially recorded by the AHL. The market will determine which outcome—a Monsters win, a Griffins win—is the prevailing result. Traders will then be settled based on whether their purchased contracts align with the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions that might affect game play, could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could indicate a change in sentiment and cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds before the game concludes.