TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the first 5 innings of the Cleveland Guardians versus Tampa Bay Rays game will be over or under 2.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5”. Resolution will be determined by the official score reported on https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00PM ET, as the first 5 innings will directly determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide insight into where the market perceives an edge or disagreement with traditional oddsmakers regarding the Guardians vs. Rays game.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guardians vs. Rays game, as reported by a major sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Guardians win or a Rays win – occurred based on this official result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final verified outcome of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or starting pitcher changes for either the Guardians or the Rays would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the game location could also shift the odds. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or expert predictions, could influence trading activity and move the market. Finally, in-game events, even early in the contest, could lead to rapid adjustments in the perceived probabilities.