TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Cleveland Guardians will win their game against the Tampa Bay Rays on October 12th at 8:00PM ET, with the market currently assigning a 100.0% probability to the Cleveland Guardians winning by a spread of -3.5 runs on Polymarket. The second most likely outcome, a spread of -4.5 runs, is currently at 0.1%. Resolution will be based on the final score reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game’s outcome on October 12th, as that will determine whether the Guardians cover the spread and resolve this market in their favor.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 12 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Polls and analysts’ predictions can also differ from both, offering a broader range of perspectives on the likely outcome of the Guardians vs. Rays game. These differences highlight how various sources interpret available data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated, offering a real-time assessment of the game's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Guardians vs. Rays game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning share. The resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy in determining the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand when the result is finalized and shares are settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or even weather forecasts could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant team announcements, could also influence the odds. Major analytical reports or updated projections from sports analysts might also move the market as traders incorporate new information into their predictions for the Guardians vs. Rays game.