TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the October 7th MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Chicago White Sox will be over or under 8.5. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5”. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.mlb.com/. Keep an eye on the game’s final score as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the game on October 7th, and the outcome will be determined by the total runs scored by both teams.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public perception diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information from a wider range of sources and react more quickly to new developments than traditional betting venues. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into public sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the game's likely result. The current price movements are a direct result of traders' collective predictions about the Guardians-White Sox game.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Guardians-White Sox game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent determination of the result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and the corresponding payout for their shares once the resolution is complete. This ensures a fair and accurate settlement of the market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or even weather forecasts could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player performance could also impact trader sentiment. Major news events affecting both teams, or even broader baseball news, might also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market and making informed trading decisions.