TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:41 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-10-07 20:00 UTC: If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the Chicago White Sox win, the market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-10-07 20:00 UTC: If the Cleveland Guardians win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the Chicago White Sox win, the market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust as new information emerges and more people participate, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract directly reflects the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the odds constantly adapt to the latest information and collective sentiment of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Guardians vs White Sox game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and payouts will be triggered accordingly based on the final game result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or performance analyses from sports analysts could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants on Opinion could indicate shifts in expectations and cause the odds to adjust rapidly.