TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 8 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 8 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what percentage of the event’s total cost is attributed to a specific result, allowing traders to express their views and potentially profit from discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Guardians-White Sox game will be used to determine the winning contract. This includes the official score as recorded by the league and any necessary adjustments for postponed or cancelled games. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts, and even significant news regarding team morale could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes or reports of illness within either team are likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any major upsets in other games that impact playoff positioning could indirectly affect how traders assess the motivation and performance of the Guardians and White Sox.