TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:47 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC: If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Cavaliers". If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to "Orlando Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC: If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Cavaliers". If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to "Orlando Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Opinion, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust as new information emerges and more people weigh in, potentially offering more accurate probabilities. It's common to see differences between the two, reflecting differing opinions and incentives.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cleveland Cavaliers versus Orlando Magic game. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance from key players in recent games, or shifts in expert analysis and predictions, could also impact trading activity. Major news events affecting team morale or overall league dynamics could also play a role. As the game approaches, even weather forecasts and travel conditions could become relevant factors influencing traders’ assessments and moving the market.