TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Ligue 2 soccer match between Clermont Foot and Guingamp. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends purely on the match result as it stands after regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Clermont Foot vs Guingamp professional Ligue 2 soccer match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Clermont Foot wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Guingamp wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after regulation time.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, but this market shows a more uncertain outlook, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s efficiency relies on the diverse perspectives and informed decisions of all traders involved, creating a constantly evolving forecast for the Clermont Foot vs Guingamp match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Clermont Foot vs Guingamp match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from analysts, can also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or broader league standings could indirectly affect sentiment. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the Clermont Foot vs Guingamp match will be key to understanding how this market evolves.