TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific teams score above designated point thresholds in an upcoming college football match. The outcome depends purely on the final points each team accumulates during the game, reflecting performance under competitive pressure.
Each market resolves based on whether Florida State or Clemson exceeds a specified point threshold in their game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If either team scores more than the threshold listed in the market’s primary rule, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, they remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of game delays or cancellations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction market prices incorporating information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines, or conversely, being slower to react to breaking news. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, potentially offering arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the Clemson and Florida State team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe a particular total will occur, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Clemson and Florida State will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total points scored by both teams during the game, as recorded by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct team total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Clemson or Florida State would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also impact the expected scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift market sentiment. Finally, as game day approaches, any public statements from coaches or players about their offensive or defensive plans could also move the market.