TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Clemson and Florida State. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire match, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's start and the first scoring play.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Clemson vs Florida St. college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, or if no team scores a touchdown at all. All touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are separate for each potential outcome: Florida St. scoring first, Clemson scoring first, or neither team scoring a touchdown.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Generally, if a significant discrepancy exists, it suggests the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It is common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by a large number of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Clemson, Florida State, or no team scoring a touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each team scoring first. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown in the Clemson vs Florida State game, according to official game statistics. Any scoring plays subject to review will be resolved based on the final ruling made by the game officials. The outcome will be determined by the official game record, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Clemson or Florida State would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also impact the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could lead to traders adjusting their positions, causing the prices to fluctuate.