TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming college football game. It provides a narrow window to assess in-game momentum and strategic performance, highlighting the final quarter's importance without considering the overall game result.
If Florida St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Clemson vs Florida St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Clemson vs Florida St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Clemson vs Florida St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and the continuous flow of information. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives and adjust rapidly to new data. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential winner of the 4th quarter. The current price indicates the implied probability assigned to each team by the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is leading when the 4th quarter concludes. The official result will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and all winning contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market has officially resolved and payouts are processed.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Clemson or Florida State would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the odds. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a surprising defensive strategy, will undoubtedly move the market as traders react to the unfolding events. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also play a role, though the market primarily reflects trader behavior.