TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Clemson and Florida State. It evaluates whether one team will dominate the other by a certain margin of points during a particular quarter, providing insight into potential in-game momentum shifts.
The event determines whether Florida State or Clemson wins by a specified point margin during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point spread threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either team. Resolution depends solely on points scored during the third quarter; outcomes are based strictly on the point differential at the end of that quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s pricing. It's common to see the two converge as the event approaches, but differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Clemson vs Florida State spread. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price levels, giving traders insight into the current sentiment and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the actual point spread difference between Clemson and Florida State at the end of the third quarter of the game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will be used to determine whether Florida State wins the third quarter by more than 3.5 points, triggering a payout for those who purchased 'yes' contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Clemson or Florida State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected line movements in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions in this market.