TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Clemson and Florida State, specifically how many points one team may win by over the other during that period. The markets cover various point spreads to reflect different levels of victory margin for either team.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the designated Clemson vs Florida State college football game. For markets where Florida State must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs only if Florida State achieves that margin in the second half; similarly, markets requiring Clemson to win by a certain margin resolve only if Clemson meets that criterion in the second half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result of that game. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning neither outcome is definitively declared and pricing reflects an equitable settlement.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it might indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing levels of confidence in the teams' performance. It's common to see prediction markets offer a more accurate forecast, especially as event time approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. For example, a contract priced at 60 means a trader believes there is a 60% chance of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buyers drive the price up, while more sellers push it down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations regarding the Clemson-Florida State spread.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official 2nd half spread of the Clemson vs. Florida State game will be used to determine whether Clemson won by over 6.5 points, or not. The resolution will be based on the final, official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Clemson or Florida State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about team morale, coaching decisions, or even unexpected lineup changes could all impact trading activity and the perceived probability of Clemson covering the spread. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role.