TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome, reflecting varying levels of scoring expectations.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Clemson vs Florida State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see this market converge toward the ‘true’ probability as the event approaches, potentially offering value compared to fixed odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter of the Clemson vs Florida State game will be over or under the specified threshold. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more likely the market believes that outcome will happen, and vice versa. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, creating a dynamic market reflecting collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first quarter of the Clemson vs Florida State game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contract pays out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for the resolution of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the first quarter.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Clemson or Florida State would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the scoring potential and therefore the market price. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or changes in team dynamics could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity on Kalshi itself – a large influx of buy or sell orders – can move the market price independent of external factors.