TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game between Clemson and Florida State. It assesses whether one team will dominate the other by a specific margin of points within the initial 15 minutes of play.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Clemson vs Florida State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either Clemson or Florida State to win by. If Florida State achieves the required point differential in their favor, the corresponding 'Florida St. wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Conversely, if Clemson meets or exceeds the specified margin in their favor, the relevant 'Clemson wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual first-quarter result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a specific spread is likely, the higher the contract price will climb. Conversely, if traders believe a spread is unlikely, the price will fall. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Clemson versus Florida State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game begins. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Clemson or Florida State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could sway trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations, though this market represents independent trader views.