TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams during a specific quarter of a professional football game. It focuses solely on the performance in that quarter, ignoring any points from other periods. Bettors can assess whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the designated game. Each market has a different threshold for 'Yes' outcomes, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Points from any other quarter are irrelevant to all markets. The official game must be played as scheduled; if postponed or canceled, all markets are void.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade and express their own predictions, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds closer to game time, the prediction market continuously updates, potentially offering a more dynamic and accurate forecast of the 3rd quarter total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Browns-Jets 3rd quarter total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a collective assessment of the likely 3rd quarter total, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter total from the Browns-Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official score reported by the league. Any overtime scoring will not be included in the 3rd quarter total. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct 3rd quarter total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The precise details of the payout are determined by the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the Browns or the Jets would be a major catalyst, as would any changes in weather forecasts for the game day. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any shifts in public perception – perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends – could lead to price fluctuations. Finally, early game performance in the first and second quarters could also move this market as traders react to unfolding events.