TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points during the second quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the Cleveland Browns and the New York Jets. The outcome depends solely on the scoring performance in that specific quarter, not the overall game result.
If New York J wins the 2nd Quarter of the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland wins the 2nd Quarter of the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets often converge toward a more precise assessment of the likely outcome as the event approaches. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Browns or the Jets winning the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the second quarter of the Browns versus Jets game will determine the payout. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting. All contracts held for the winning team will pay out $1.00, while those held for the losing team will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and ensure they understand the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Jets would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's style of play, could also impact the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news about player availability, could all contribute to price movements. Public sentiment and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks may also indirectly influence trading on Kalshi.