TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success. Only points scored in the specified quarter are counted toward these outcomes.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market corresponds to a unique threshold, and the outcome resolves to 'Yes' if the total points scored in that quarter surpass the respective threshold. Points from any other quarter or timeframe are excluded from consideration. All markets operate under the same secondary rule, which mandates that only points scored during the second quarter count toward the resolution of any of these markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and marketing considerations, while this market is driven by individuals directly forecasting the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes exceeding the performance of traditional polls or analysts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts regarding the Browns-Jets matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the 2nd quarter total being over or under a certain value. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus view. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants regarding the likely scoring in the 2nd quarter of the Browns-Jets game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official score of the 2nd quarter of the Browns versus Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by both teams during the 2nd quarter of the game. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome, based on whether the 2nd quarter total exceeds the implied threshold.
Several signals could influence this market leading up to and during the Browns-Jets game. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could impact the scoring environment. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, will also rapidly shift the price. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, influencing trader sentiment and driving volume in this market.