TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming professional football game between the Cleveland Browns and the New York Jets. The outcome depends solely on second-half performance, with overtime included, and resolves based on whether either team secures the lead or if the game ends in a tie during that period.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the second half (including overtime) of the designated Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets game. If one team outscores the other in the second half, that team's market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the second half, all team markets resolve to No and the Tie market resolves to Yes. The contest is strictly limited to second-half scoring; first-half results have no impact on the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and can be influenced by news and events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the second half. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people believe the Browns will win, the price of a 'Browns win' contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the second half of the Browns-Jets game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Browns or the Jets would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather conditions expected during the game. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game polls, could also influence trading activity. Finally, in-game events during the first half – such as a dominant performance by one team or a crucial turnover – could lead to rapid adjustments in the price of contracts for this market.