TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether the total points scored by both teams in the second half of a specific football game will exceed various thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the combined scoring performance after halftime, excluding any points from the first half.
These markets determine if the combined points scored by the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets in the second half (including any overtime periods) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is resolved independently based on whether the actual second-half total surpasses its respective threshold. Only points scored from the start of the third quarter onward count toward these markets; any points from the first half are excluded. All markets share the same underlying event—the second-half scoring of the named game—and are subject to the same disclaimers regarding the operator's lack of affiliation with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the second-half total being above or below the specified number. As more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second-half point total from the Browns-Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by the NFL. The market will determine whether the actual total points scored in the second half is above or below the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The final price of the contracts will reflect the ultimate outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Jets – particularly quarterbacks or key offensive contributors – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also shift expectations about scoring. Game-day developments, like early turnovers or dominant offensive performances, will also cause the price to move as traders react to the unfolding events and adjust their predictions for the Browns-Jets second half total.