TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the second half performance of the Cleveland Browns versus the New York Jets in their scheduled football game. Each market evaluates different point differentials to determine the outcome based on who wins and by how much during this specific segment of the game.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the specified Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets football game. For markets where the New York Jets are the designated winner, resolution occurs if the Jets win by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, for markets where the Cleveland Browns are the designated winner, resolution occurs if the Browns win by more than the specified point margin. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these determinations. Each market features a different threshold for the required point differential, offering varied levels of difficulty for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on betting patterns, this market continuously updates as new information and opinions emerge. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news, as traders incorporate information differently than bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific point spread for the second half of the Browns-Jets game. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the actual spread will be in favor of the Browns by at least the specified amount, or 'no' contracts if they believe the Jets will cover. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second half spread of the Browns-Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine whether contracts settle at $100 (for winning 'yes' contracts) or $0 (for losing 'yes' contracts). The resolution process is automated based on this publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Jets would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could affect trader sentiment and contract prices.