TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the two teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes depend solely on the actual points scored during that specific period of play.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the specified football game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first half, with no impact from the second half or any other game aspects. The disclaimers clarify that the platform is not officially connected with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move in the opposite direction. This can create opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value where sportsbook odds may be less efficient. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total score falling below that value at the end of the first half. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The market's depth and volume also influence price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Browns versus Jets game will be used to determine whether the total score was above or below the final market price on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data sources, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the market will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Jets – particularly quarterbacks, running backs, or key defensive players – would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict adverse conditions that could affect scoring, could also impact the price. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also shift trader sentiment. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likely first-half scoring potential could move this market.