TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first half of an upcoming football game between the Cleveland Browns and the New York Jets. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will lead by a specific margin at halftime.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Cleveland Browns and the New York Jets during the first half of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning team's point margin: markets for the Jets winning by over 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 6.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 10.5 points, and markets for the Browns winning by over 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 6.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 10.5 points. If the winning team exceeds the specified margin during the first half, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored in the first half count toward these outcomes. All markets are independent, allowing for multiple resolutions depending on the actual point differential. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts in both markets. It’s common to see this market move independently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Buyers believe the spread will be *less* than the contract’s spread, while sellers believe it will be *more*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market price reflects the collective prediction of all participants, constantly updating as new information and opinions emerge. The current price indicates the probability of each spread occurring, as perceived by the market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the Browns-Jets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the spread. The specific payout amount depends on the final spread and the price paid for the contract purchased. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand their contract’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Browns or the Jets would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could shift market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, indicating strong conviction from informed traders, could also drive price fluctuations in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026.