TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Cittadella and Albinoleffe in the Serie C league. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends in a tie, a separate market will reflect that outcome.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Cittadella vs Albinoleffe professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. A win for either Cittadella or Albinoleffe within this regulation time frames the respective market outcomes. If the match concludes in a draw under the same conditions, the Tie market resolves as the correct outcome. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price according to the platform’s procedures. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially when a large and informed trading volume develops. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit when their beliefs align with the eventual result. The more traders participate, the more efficient the price becomes, theoretically reflecting the true probability of the event. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cittadella vs Albinoleffe match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, affecting the style of play and potentially the outcome. Major tactical announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts could also move the market as traders adjust their predictions based on new information. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.